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Coach, do you make Lay Bets?
On a cold or choppy table I have switched my thinking on
the Don't Pass Bar and the Don't Come Bets. When you
make a Don't Pass bet, you are fighting the 7-11 (yo) on
the come out roll, a 22.22% probability. On the second
roll for the Don't Come bet, you have the very same
situation. How many times do you see a point -7 out?
There goes the Don't Come bet!
Before I make a Lay Bet , I look for a couple of things.
Are the shooters making passes? Are the shooters hitting
numbers in-between the point cycle?
Sometimes you are in a game where numbers are hitting
and repeating, but the shooter cannot make a pass (ie:
hit his/her point). In this case I will Lay the Point.
I like laying the inside numbers only because of the way
they pay - 6 & 8 pay 5 to 6, 5 & 9 pay 2 to 3. I don't
like Laying the 4 or 10 as I know there are only 3 ways
to make these numbers. It is hard for me to swallow the
1 to 2 pay out. There is something about laying
(risking) $120.00 and only getting back $60.00.
In a game where the shooter is hitting a lot of craps
numbers and not hitting his/her point or any of the
inside numbers, I will lay all of the inside numbers. I
like this bet because you can win all four lay-bets with
one roll of the dice , that is when the 7 shows.
Let's use an example of $30.00 units. On a very cold
table, lay the inside numbers for $120.00. That would be
$30.00 on each inside number. You only have $30. 00 at
risk per roll to win all four bets. This would pay you
$90.00 and you get your original $120.00 returned to
you, that is unless you want to leave the bets up for
another roll.
On this wager you have to pay the casino a 5% commission
or $1.00 on each bet for a total of $4.00 commission.
Some casinos want the commission up front and others
after the play is made. These are not contract bets , so
you can take any or all of them down at anytime. If you
take any down they will return the 5% commission to you,
if you have paid it up front.
Don't force a game - let the game come to you! Even
though we are attempting to use a controlled grip with a
controlled toss to influence the dice, there are no
guarantees we will have a successful session hitting
points or numbers.
I had a session the other day with a student; we were
the only two players at the table so one would think we
should have a successful session. Well guess what,
neither one of use could make a pass. We would hit
numbers, but made no passes. My student was getting a
little nervous and I said "we need to change the way we
are playing".
I made a $25.00 Pass line bet and a $25.00 Don't Pass
bet with $1 on boxcars for protection or as a hedge bet.
This was for the Come out roll only. I established 8 for
the point. Now I made a $120.00 Lay on the 8. Knowing we
were not hitting points, I set the hard way set ( I have
a lot of double pitches). First roll was a double pitch
-PSO (point seven out). $120. 00 pays $100.00 making my
net win $95.00 after the 5% commission. The Pass Line
loses and the Don't Pass wins for a push.
My student set the 9 as a point and we both laid the 9
for $120. 00. Three or four rolls later he hit the 7,
which paid us $80.00 each for a net of $76.00 after the
commission. We both continued playing for about another
20 minutes , then colored up winners of with about
$600.00+ each.
Here is a case where we really could have hurt our
bankrolls. Instead we saw what was going on and were
able to switch the direction of our play. As Debbie (aka
Soft Touch) likes to say; "if you don't like the
direction you are going in, then change your direction."
You really need to leave your EGO at home and be willing
to change your play as the conditions warrant.
Always remember play to win - don't just play to play.
Dice Coach
Remember -"RISK IS THE PRICE YOU PAY FOR OPPORTUNTITY" -
as quoted by Tom Selleck on the CBS show Blue Bloods
Dice Coach
| Another 20 minute
roll! I think between that little modification and
adopting your betting tactics, that this will work
well in the long run. Thanks again!
- Bill - |
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Gambling is a great way to get nothing for something" - Milton Berle - |
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