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THE OTHER SIDE
Several articles ago I wrote an article titled: Coach, do you ever bet on the dark side? The answer of course is yes, but if you read my first article, (check the archives) you will note that my betting strategy has changed a bit since then.
The very first thing I do is - watch the table
to see if anyone is making one or more passes. This will be my first clue if I want to bet the dark side. Remember any shooter can catch a hand. And never get caught up chasing a shooters hand on either the
"Do" or the "Don't"'
My betting strategy is a very simple one and will work most of the time. When I decide to make a
"Don't"bet on a shooter, I will place a single unit on the don't-pass line; the tricky part is hoping that no 7 or 11 show up on the come out roll. At this point I have a 22.22% house edge against me.
If the shooter hits 12, I have a push. If the shooter hits 1-1 or 1-2 or 2-1 - I will parlay that bet, but no more than two times. If that happens I will not need to place a lay bet on that number. When the shooter establishes a number for a point, I will lay another
6 units against that number.
If the shooter establishes a 6 or 8, I now have a 55% chance to win the bet. As a hedge, if the point is an even number, I will make a hard way bet, enough to cover my don't bet.
If the shooter establishes a 5 or 9, I now have a 60% chance of winning. With a 4 or 10 - I have a 67% chance of winning.
Remember, a flat bet on the Don't and Don't-Come pay even money and it is not a contract bet. If the point is a 6 or 8 - the payout is $5 for every $6. If the point is 5 or 9 - the payout is $2 for every $3. And if the point is 4 and 10
- it pays $1 for every $2 bet.
I will only make one don't bet and most of the time make
one, but no more than two, don't come bets.
My reasoning for this is that if the shooter starts hitting numbers and I keep replacing the don't-come bets, I stand to lose a lot of money. If my bets get knocked down, I will not replace them. No chasing numbers!
This strategy is easy to remember with very little risk involved. It will give you something to do while waiting for your turn to shoot.
Try is out let me know how you do.
Remember you have to have discipline and patience; don’t be in a hurry!
See you in the pits,
Dice Coach
| Another 20 minute
roll! I think between that little modification and
adopting your betting tactics, that this will work
well in the long run. Thanks again!
- Bill - |
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- In cards, a good deal depends on luck, and luck depends upon a good deal. - |
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