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DICE COACH'S BETTING STRATEGIES
"The key to winning at gambling is to bet a larger unit, from a larger bankroll, for a short period of time--hit and run. This limits our exposure, allows us to exploit a table in the moment as it comes into balance or seeking balance to match its statistical probability. This approach actually makes the math meaningless, as you and I know math traditionally." SN
CRAPS CHEAT SHEET
The game, the payouts, the bankroll
|
| TRUE ODDS - Pass Line / Come ODDS payouts |
| Odds bet |
6 / 8 (6:5) |
5 / 9 (3:2) |
4 / 10 (2:1) |
| $10 | $12 | $15* | $20 |
| $20 | $24 | $30 | $40 |
| $25 | $30 | $37.50* | $50 |
| $30 | $36 | $45 | $60 |
| $40 | $48 | $60 | $80 |
| $50 | $60 | $75 | $100 |
| $100 | $120 | $150 | $200 |
Bet odds in multiples of $5 on 6/8 and even amounts on 5/9. *Add $1 on 5/9 (bet $26, paid $39).
| PLACE BET payouts (house odds) |
| 6 / 8 (7:6) |
5 / 9 (7:5) |
4 / 10 (9:5) |
|
| Bet | Pays |
Bet | Pays |
Bet | Pays |
|
| $6 | $7 | $5 | $7 | $5 | $9 | |
| $12 | $14 | $10 | $14 | $10 | $18 | |
| $18 | $21 | $15 | $21 | $15 | $27 | |
| $24 | $28 | $20 | $28 | $20 | $36 | |
| $30 | $35 | $25 | $35 | Buy $25 | $50* | |
| $60 | $70 | $50 | $70 | Buy $50 | $100* | |
| $90 | $105 | $100 | $140 | Buy $100 | $200* | |
Place 6/8 in multiples of $6; 5/9 and 4/10 in multiples of $5. *Buy the 4/10 at $25+ (true 2:1 less vig). Buy 5/9 from the $60 level if vig is on the win only.
| LAY BET payouts (5% vig on the win) |
| Lay |
4 / 10 (1:2) |
5 / 9 (2:3) |
6 / 8 (5:6) |
| $30 | wins $15 | wins $20 | wins $25 |
| $60 | wins $30 | wins $40 | wins $50 |
| $120 | wins $60 | wins $80 | wins $100 |
Lay across ($30 each, $180 total): a 7 wins $120 - $6 vig = $114 net.
$360 across nets $228 - $720 across nets $456.
| THE BETS AT A GLANCE |
• Pass Line - 7/11 wins, 2/3/12 loses on come-out. Otherwise the point must repeat before a 7. Even money. Contract bet (can't remove).
• Pass Line Odds - added behind the line after the point. Pays true odds; zero house edge. You control it.
• Come - same as pass line, made after the point is set. Can take odds.
• Place - choose 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10. Pays house odds (7:6, 7:5, 9:5). Press, reduce or take down any time. Off on come-out.
• Buy 4/10 - pays true odds (2:1) for a commission (5%; some houses 4% under $100).
• Field - one roll: 16 ways win, 20 ways lose. Even money (2/12 usually pay extra).
• Hardways - 4, 6, 8, 10 as a pair before a 7 or the easy way.
• Props - one-roll center bets: Any Craps, C&E, Horn (2,3,11,12), Hi-Lo, Yo, Ace-Deuce.
• Don't Pass - 2/3 win, 12 pushes. 7/11 lose on come-out. Wins if 7 beats the point. Can be removed.
• Lay Odds / Lay Bets - bet the 7 beats a number. Lay 6 to win 5 (6/8), 3 to win 2 (5/9), 2 to win 1 (4/10). Lay bets charge 5% vig on the win.
|
| BANKROLL & PARLAY THE NATURALS |
| Unit |
Full buy-in (100x) |
Modified |
Keep a separate, designated bankroll for each game. Bet within your comfort zone.
Hit and run: bigger unit, short session, then leave. |
| $5 | $500 | $300 |
| $10 | $1,000 | $500 |
| $25 | $2,500 | $1,000 |
Parlay the pass line on come-out 7s and 11s. 1st hit = 3:1 on your original unit, 2nd hit = 7:1, 3rd hit = take the profit and raise your base bet 50%. If a point is set mid-parlay and hits, you still get 3:1. No odds on a parlayed bet. Lose = back to 1 unit.
Dark sider: same method on the Don't, max two parlays.
| HOUSE EDGE REFERENCE - best to worst |
| Bet | Edge | Bet | Edge |
| Pass/Come + 3-4-5x | 0.37% | Place 5 / 9 | 4.00% |
| Pass/Come + 2x | 0.61% | Field (2x on 2 & 12) | 5.56% |
| Don't Pass / Don't Come | 1.36% | Place 4 / 10 | 6.67% |
| Pass / Come (flat) | 1.41% | Hard 6 / 8 | 9.09% |
| Place 6 / 8 | 1.52% | Hard 4 / 10 | 11.1% |
| Buy 4 / 10 (vig on win) | 1.67% | Horn / Yo / Craps | 11-13% |
| Lay 4 / 10 (vig on win) | 2.44% | Any 7 | 16.7% |
| Lay 5 / 9 / 6 / 8 | 3.2%-4.0% | Fire / ATS / Repeater | ~8-25% |
Class rule: "Stay out of the middle" - skip props and hardways.
Condensed from Dice Coach, Axis Power Craps and PlaybookPages class materials. House-edge figures are standard craps math.
DICE SETS, GRIPS & BETTING RULES
Axis Power Craps sets (notation: top / front for Left and Right die)
|
| COMMON GRIPS |
• 3-Finger Front - index, middle, ring across the far top edge; pinkie out of the way. Thumb halfway down the near faces, 50/50 on each die, opposite the middle finger. Light grip; dice square to each other and flat to the table.
• 2-Finger Pincer (1-finger front) - easiest to learn. Little force, little friction. Light back-spin, right loft, soft landing.
• 3-Finger Diagonal - thumb on the back edge, three fingers on the front edge. All contact on edges, not faces.
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| WHEN TO BET (Dice Coach timing rules) |
• Watch a few rolls before betting: passes? repeats? what's hot, what's missing?
• Bet what's rolling; lay what isn't. Follow the current trend. Don't chase.
• Signature number: same number twice in the last 6-8 rolls.
• Hot hand: 2 passes made easily within the last 14 rolls.
• Pass line on yourself only; put money on the line behind other shooters after the point.
• Point set: wait 1 roll before odds and place bets (PSO).
• Craps / 11 rolls: bets OFF 1 roll. 2 or 12: OFF 2 rolls.
• Ladder 4-5-6 or 10-9-8: call bets OFF.
• Box numbers: collect, press, collect, press (full or 1-unit presses).
• See a horn, bet a horn: $6 Hi-Lo-Yo-Ace-Deuce (+ Field).
|
| LOST NUMBERS (lay these) |
| 6 & 8 |
|
| 5 & 9 |
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| 4 & 10 |
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Set for 7s on the come-out, then lay the inside numbers: one number at risk to win four bets ($30 risked, $90 return).
| LAY-BET STRATEGY (cold or choppy table) |
Choppy = shooter hits numbers but can't make the point. Switch to the dark side.
• Prefers Lay bets over Don't Pass/Don't Come (7 or 11 kills those on come-out).
• After the point is set, lay the point - only on a choppy table.
• Lay across: one 7 wins every lay; a box number only loses that one bet.
• Lose two lay bets - take the rest down.
• Never replace a lay lost to a repeating number.
• Good sign: horn numbers rolling between box numbers.
|
| SPECIALTY PROP BETS (high vig - for fun, not profit) |
| ATS (All Tall Small) |
| Small: 2-3-4-5-6 before 7 | 30:1 |
| Tall: 8-9-10-11-12 before 7 | 30:1 |
| All: every number before 7 | 150:1 |
| Come-out 7 kills it - rebet | |
| Fire Bet (unique points made) |
| 4 different points | 40:1 |
| 5 different points | 200:1 |
| 6 different points | 500:1 |
| Survives come-out 7s | |
| Repeater (hits before 7) |
| 2 or 12 x 2 | 40:1 |
| 3 or 11 x 3 | 50:1 |
| 4 or 10 x 4 | 65:1 |
| 5 or 9 x 5 - 6 or 8 x 6 | 80:1 - 90:1 |
Paytables vary by casino (older Fire paytable: 25 / 250 / 1,000:1). Repeated points count once for the Fire Bet. Check the layout before you bet.
Condensed from Dice Coach, Axis Power Craps and PlaybookPages class materials. House-edge figures are standard craps math.
• When first entering the game wait a few rolls to see what the table is producing:
Are the shooters making passes?
Are they repeating numbers?
What numbers are coming up more often than other numbers? What numbers are not showing at all?
Are there lots of craps numbers, field numbers etc.
• Always play in the moment - bet what is rolling and lay what is not.
• The Come-out set for (7) is 6-1-6-1 axis with the 4-3 on top.
• Parlay the naturals -7 & 11's. On the first hit the parlay is 3 to 1, second hit parlay is 7-1, on the third hit take your winnings and increase your base bet by 50%. After the parlay, you do not take odds on your pass-line bet.
• After you set a point -wait one roll due to point-seven-out factor (PSO) before placing odds bets and making place bets. After each subsequent point is established in a hand, wait one roll before turning on your place bets and odds bets.
• Only bet pass-line on yourself. When other shooters have the dice make no pass-line bets. After a point is established the shooter only has a 40% chance of hitting his or her pass line point. After the point is established you can place a bet on the line or have the dealer place your bet where the puck is located. These are not contract bets and can be removed.
• When placing bets on the box numbers, remember each number is an independent occurrence. Always collect on the first hit, press on the second hit, collect on the third. (ie: collect-press-collect-press) You can do a full-press or press one unit at a time.
• Only make bets within your own comfort zone. If you are thinking about making a bet that you are not comfortable with, -don't make the bet.
• Remember there are no bad bets -just bad timing. Don't chase numbers.
• Look for certain patterns and always follow the current pattern.
ADVANCED BETTING STRATEGIES
• ALWAYS PLAY IN THE MOMENT
• WAIT AND SEE WHAT IS HAPPENING BEFORE PLACING A BET
• BET WHAT IS ROLLING
• BET SIGNATURE NUMBERS
(IE: the same number rolling TWICE in the last 6 to 8 rolls)
• LAY WHAT IS NOT ROLLING (LOST NUMBERS)
A number that has not rolled recently such as:
6 & 8 in 12 ROLLS
5 & 9 in 13 ROLLS
4 & 10 in 18 ROLLS
• WATCH FOR THE LADDER
(4- 5 - 6 =Call bets OFF or 10- 9- 8 =Call bets OFF)
• THE POINT IS SET: Don't place odds or any place bets for 1 roll.
• CALL BETS OFF for 1 roll after Craps/Eleven (1 /2 OR 5 / 6)
• CALL BETS OFF for 2 rolls after Snake-eyes or Boxcars. (1 / 1 OR 6 / 6)
• SEE A HORN BET A HORN: Bet a $6.00 HORN-HIGH, YO, ACE-DUCE.
(I also bet the field with this combination)
• SET FOR 7'S ON THE COME-OUT:-then lay all the inside numbers.
(You have 1 number at risk to win 4 bets. Risking $30 to return $90)
• WATCH FOR THE HOT ROLL HAND:
(2 passes made easily within the last 14 rolls.)
Lay-Bet Strategies
Lay-Bet strategies are another tool in your toolbox of Craps Play. When I see a cold or choppy table, I change the direction of my play by looking at the Dark Side and Lay-Bets.
A table is considered Choppy when the shooter cannot make his/her point number. The shooter may be hitting numbers and not making their point number.
A couple of things I consider when going to Lay-Bets:
• On any roll, I have a 22.22% chance of a 7 or 11 being rolled.
• On a cold table, - I personally prefer to do Lay Bets and pay the 5% vig.(paid up front in most casinos)
• I avoid placing the Don't Pass and Don't Come bets - the potential for the 7 or 11 to roll make these bets suspect plays. (7 or 11 loses on these plays)
• Once the shooter establishes their point, I will then "Lay the point". When the result is a PSO (point-7-out) it is a wonderful thing.
The Laying-Across Strategy is another option- by Laying-Across; you can win all your bets on one roll of the dice when a 7 shows. If by chance a box number rolls, you will only lose the bet on that number - the rest stay alive.
With this Strategy:
• If I lose two Lay-Bets, I take the rest down.
• I never replace a Lay-Bet that I have lost due to repeating numbers.
• I only "Lay the point" on a choppy table.
• I like to see Horn numbers rolled in between box numbers.
| LAY BETS |
| 5% vig on win (pays up front) |
| |
| |
4 |
5 |
6 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
| pays |
1-2 |
2-3 |
5-6 |
5-6 |
2-3 |
1-2 |
| ~~ ~ ~~ |
| |
| |
4 |
5 |
6 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
| lay |
$30.00 |
$30.00 |
$30.00 |
$30.00 |
$30.00 |
$30.00 |
| pays |
$15.00 |
$20.00 |
$25.00 |
$25.00 |
$20.00 |
$15.00 |
| |
| lay |
$60.00 |
$60.00 |
$60.00 |
$60.00 |
$60.00 |
$60.00 |
| pays |
$30.00 |
$40.00 |
$50.00 |
$50.00 |
$40.00 |
$30.00 |
| |
| lay |
$120.00 |
$120.00 |
$120.00 |
$120.00 |
$120.00 |
$120.00 |
| pays |
$60.00 |
$80.00 |
$100.00 |
$100.00 |
$80.00 |
$60.00 |
| lay |
$180 across |
less vig ($6) |
net profit |
120 -6 = $114 |
| |
| lay |
$360 across |
less vig.($12) |
net profit |
240 -12 = $228 |
| |
| lay |
$720 across |
less vig.($24) |
net profit |
480 -24 = $456 |
The Breath Test
Find Out in a Minute
If You Need Conscious Breathing
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Take a moment to answer these twelve questions:
- When you take a deep breath, do you inflate your chest?
- Do you tire easily or wake up tired?
- Do you experience racy or mildly queasy sensations in your chest or stomach?
- Do you often feel that you are not getting a full breath?
- Do you get mild or more severe headaches, often in the afternoon?
- Is your breathing shallow?
- Is your breathing mostly up in your chest?
- Are your muscles often tense or sore to the touch?
- Do you sigh often?
- Do you sometimes have painful sensations in your rib cage or shooting pains that make you want to hold your breath?
- Do you feel breathless fairly often?
- In repose, do you breathe more than fifteen times a minute?
All of these symptoms can be caused by ineffective breathing. All of them can disappear as you learn to breathe more effectively. If you answered yes to any of these questions, you can benefit from the practices in this book. If you answered yes to three or more, you will find the activities extremely useful, perhaps even life-changing.
From: "Conscious Breathing - Breathwork for Health, Stress Release, and Personal Mastery" By Gay Hendricks, Ph.D.
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Stockwell's Tips:
Three Deep Breaths: Up, Up and Away
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Notice how you are feeling right now in this moment. Then...
1) Look up at the top of this page and take a deep breath.
2) Look up at the ceiling and take another deep breath.
3) Finally, look up, all the way up, and take a third deep breath.
Notice how much better you feel in this moment.
What's the difference?
You shifted your perception by uplifting your eyes. Chemically, you change your brain signals for up-liftment. Any time you consciously move your eyes upward and bathe yourself with more oxygen, you feel better.
1) Again, look up at the top of the page and take a deep breath.
2) Look up at the ceiling and take another deep breath.
3) Look up, all the way up, and take a third deep breath. This time, touch your thumb to your forefinger on one hand, making the sign of OK.
This symbol serves as your joy anchor.
Think of your mind as a bio computer and you are the programmer.
Any time you feel low, take three deep breaths, uplift your focus, and make the OK sign. If you really want to blast yourself into joy, straighten your posture, say "yes" to yourself and laugh (Hee, heee, hah, hah).
From: "The Search for Cosmic Consciousness"
by Ormond McGill, PH.D. and Shelley Stockwell, PH.D.
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Is there some reason why you work 40 hard hours to earn $500, then spend four hard hours giving it away to your favorite casino? Has anyone, at any casino, ever thanked you? |
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